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Things are going slow and steady

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The rand is stable as markets wait for significant news/data to find new direction.

Risk appetite has returned, but with continuous geo-political tensions, fears over a trade war and future Fed hikes, the local unit will most likely continue to trade in its current range. In global news:

The IMF (International Monetary Fund) has revised SA’s growth outlook to 1.5% and 1.7% for 2018 and 2019 respectively (upwards from 0.9% for both years). Locally: March inflation and February retail sales figures are the highlights to keep an eye out for later today.

Today’s Rate

USD/ZAR 12.0404
GBP/ZAR 17.1930
EUR/ZAR 14.8744
ZAR/JPY 8.9165
CNY/ZAR 1.9144
AUD/ZAR 9.3279
CHF/ZAR 12.4262
AED/ZAR 3.2780
SGD/ZAR 9.1780
NOK/ZAR 1.5475
EUR/USD 1.2355
GBP/USD 1.4280
GBP/EUR 1.1558

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Trade wars between US and China continues

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US and China tensions continues to grab the headlines, despite disappointing US jobs data Friday.

The US created 103k jobs in March, a far cry from the expected 188k, with unemployment remaining at 4.1%. Emerging markets have recovered slightly, with the rand hugging 12/$. President Trump called China’s bluff over the weekend, threatening another $100bn in tariffs.

This week is relatively light on data, with US CPI on Wednesday the highlight. Look for US CPI at 2.4%, with emerging markets likely to take a knock if this is the case. Locally, we’ll be eyeing public sector wage negotiations, with Union demanding CPI + 3%. It will be interesting to see how President Ramaphosa handles this hot potato. Have a great week folks.

Today’s Rate

USD/ZAR 12.0409
GBP/ZAR 16.9866
EUR/ZAR 14.7793
ZAR/JPY 8.8940
CNY/ZAR 1.9080
AUD/ZAR 9.2384
CHF/ZA
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Is there any more good news on it’s way with SARB meeting today?

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Local markets shift focus to the SARB’s MPC meeting today which could confirm a possible interest rate cut.

Speculation is that Governor Lesetja Kganyago could cut the interest rate by 25bps. Following Moody’s decision to change SA’s outlook to stable, it looks like that the SARB will follow up with some more positive news, this time for consumers with a “lil’ debt”.

Despite SA being a “small fish” Moody’s is said to start affirming our improved ratings. Globally: the US and China have agreed to negotiations to finalize a trade deal therefore minimizing a potential trade war. Have a great Wednesday!
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The Trade War heats up …Tine to Take Cover?

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The rand is stronger this morning as the US and China Trade war heats up.

“The Donald” announced plans to slap certain Chinese imports with a 25% tariff, which was met with “fire and fury” and a 15% – 25% tariff on certain US imports by China. The US treasury dropped another “bomb” as they plan to restrict Chinese investments in certain US sectors.

Asian and US equities sank as hits to global growth are expected. Across the pond, the bank of England left interest rates unchanged, but hinted a future increase might be in play. SA awaits Moody’s credit rating decision later tonight with the rainbow nation in a great position to dodge the dreaded downgrade. Have a great day and an “Epic” weekend!

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Resolute rand – The rand remains firm

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The rand remains firm and opens the day below 11.80/$, spurred on by pro-rand events which transpired yesterday.

SA’s January manufacturing output rose by 2.5%, supporting the expectation that the domestic economy is gaining momentum. US President Trump dropped an administrative bombshell as he dismissed the Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.
This triggered a dollar sell-off with Wall Street taking a knock.

Dollar weakness was cushioned by an acceleration in US inflation, this resulted in speculation that the Fed will raise rates at a gradual pace. Sterling soared to a 2 week high as UK Finance Minister Philip Hammond announced a polished fiscal policy update highlighting on economic growth forecast and the budget. On the data calendar today, ECB President Draghi takes to the podium and US retail figures will be released. Have a great day.

Today’s Rate

USD/ZAR 11.7851
GBP/ZAR 16.468
EUR/ZAR 14.6108
ZAR/JPY 9.055
CNY/ZAR 1
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Trade war fears ease

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The rand opens at 11.83/$ after emerging market currencies recovered overnight thanks to dollar weakness.

The greenback weakened after Pres. Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on steel/aluminium imports took a big blow, with Democrats and Republicans being opposed to the idea (meaning the plan probably won’t become policy and a global trade war less likely).

Markets will keep a close eye on SA Q4 GDP released at 11.30am this morning as this will have a big role to play in Moody’s credit rating decision on the 23rd of March. Expectation are for economic growth to have moderated to 1.7% from 2% in Q3. Have an awesome Tuesday!

Today’s Rate

USD/ZAR 11.8341
GBP/ZAR 16.3599
EUR/ZAR 14.6025
ZAR/JPY 8.9784
CNY/ZAR 1.8644
AUD/ZAR 9.1902
CHF/ZAR 12.5874
AED/ZAR 3.2223
SGD/ZAR 8.9707
NOK/ZAR 1.5127
EUR/USD 1.2338
GBP/USD 1.3827
GBP/EUR 1.1205

All rates quoted are the interbank rates at time of publishing
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Rand recovers as US Stocks whiplash

The rand broke below 12/$ overnight as US stocks clawed back more than half their losses seen Monday.

The Zuma saga continues as today’s ANC NEC meeting along with the State of the Nation Address was postponed in order to give more time for talks between Zuma and Ramaphosa (Indicating Zuma may have one foot out “the shower” door!).
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Rand slides on US inflation fears

The rand weakened overnight as a result of better than expect US Jobs numbers and wage growth released Friday, sparking fears of higher than expected US interest rate increases during 2018.

The US stock market lost 2.5% as investors cashed out to hold USD in anticipation of a Fed hike in March. The GBP/ZAR continues to flirt with the 17/£ level as a false break to 17.10/£ on Friday was given back on speculation over Zuma’s demise.
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The Season for Giving: Auctioning Off Ripple-Branded Patagonia Jackets for Charity

We’re auctioning off 16 Ripple-branded Patagonia jackets — 100 percent of the proceeds will go to GiveDirectly. We’ve received a lot of interest in the Ripple-branded Patagonia jacket Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse sported on his end-of-year “Ask Me Anything.” Since it’s the season for giving (and for XRP!), we’re auctioning off 16 jackets for charity…
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Ripple XRP Now Available on 50 Exchanges Worldwide

We’re proud to announce that XRP has gone from being listed on six exchanges earlier this year to more than 50 worldwide. The digital asset market is heating up. Many new assets entered the space touting to be better and faster for settling payments. Worldwide interest surged, which boosted the collective market cap from $93.3..
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